Quick Update on Severe Potential

Category: Severe Thunderstorms
Post Type: Update
Urgency: Take Action


Hi guys!  We have a very dangerous situation ongoing in the Southern Plains currently.  There are multiple supercell storms moving through the region.  One of them is indeed tornado warned.  These storms have produced damage, and should continue to do so.  Let's get started.  The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) went against mine and many others' thinking and decided not to issue a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms, even though it appeared as though something like what is going now was going to develop.  We currently have two watches, one tornado and one severe thunderstorm:

Tornado Watch

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

The combination of high instability and medium wind shear should allow for storms to sustain themselves as severe multicell/embedded supercell thunderstorms.  Each storm that develops will have all of the tools necessary to become severe as storms are very spread out at this time.  Any storms that get strong enough to generate their own wind fields will definitely need to be watched.  Anvil level winds are actually pretty strong, so some storms that can become isolated could definitely develop some classic supercell characteristics.  As the low level jet ramps up this evening look for the tornado threat to increase some.  Definitely stay tuned, folks!