Tropical Troubles?

The CMC model is gaining support from the models for a storm in the next 7-10 days.  I still like the map that I made yesterday (find it here), so I am just going to show you the updated model forecasts.  Here is the CMC's picture at hour 126:

We see a strong storm sitting in the Caribbean.  Now here is the GFS at hour 114:

I will leave you to make what you want of these maps, as the discussion from last night is still pretty much valid.  Stay tuned!

No Tropical Weather Currently, But a Storm is Possible Soon

There is currently nothing to watch in the tropics in either the Eastern Pacific or Atlantic basins.  However, a couple of computer models are suggesting that a small storm could develop in the Caribbean.  At this time it is unlikely for a storm to form.  We went ahead and made a map for you guys just so you can see the area we are watching:

The chance is very small as I already said.  A few models are hinting at the tropical wave sitting in this area, but not developing it.  In fact, at this time, only one model is developing this into a legitimate storm at this time, and it is the CMC, a computer model that is usually is way too aggressive.  In other words, a storm this strong or even a storm in general is unlikely.  Here is the image:

What I am talking about is that swirl of isobars just south of Cuba.  That's all I have for now, stay tuned!