Severe Weather Update

Severe thunderstorm watch number 771 has been issued:

Right now, we have a strong cluster of thunderstorms sitting in the north half of the watch area.  While isolated severe is not out of question, the only thing they are really doing is robbing the atmosphere of instability.  Thus, I do believe that the overall threat of this severe thunderstorm watch is a little bit lower than previous watches.  A quick check with the SPC watch probabilities confirms this.  Later today, we should see a few storms develop across the watch area, a few of them severe.  Here is my map:

I really don't think that we will see widespread severe weather from this watch, but a threat exists, so stay tuned.