Uncertain Tropical Threat

Right now we are concerned about a tropical system in the Caribbean.  It currently has a 60% chance to develop, but an uncertain future.  Here is the current spaghetti model forecast track plot:

The uncertainty is great.  A few models have it moving into Central America, while one has it moving straight into Florida.  But the general consensus is that it will slowly move about before moving into the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.  Because the track forecast is so uncertain, and because intensity depends on the track, we will not show the intensity forecast at this time.  This will certainly become an interesting situation to watch.  Stay tuned!