Severe Weather in the Plains

October 10, 2011

GFS Snow System

Well, last night I was looking at the models and I found that the GFS was producing a snowy solution, bringing a low originating in the Rockies through the Plains and Upper Midwest with some snow on the backside of it.  Nothing huge, maybe 2-4" at best, but it was certainly interesting to look at.  This morning, I found it again.  This time, the track was farther south.  This is valid about midnight on the morning of Tuesday, October 18th.  Here it is:
Just so you know, this image is 192 hours out.  This time frame isn't in total model lala land, but it's getting close.  In simple terms, expect this solution to change.  As we analyze the image, it is apparent that there simply isn't enough moisture to produce a heavy snowfall with this system.  My best guess would be about 1.5" up to maybe 3".  And again, we do expect this to change.  Here is Twisterdata.com's GFS snowfall map:
We can see about an inch of snowfall being painted in the heaviest snow area.  I will be checking up and tracking this storm throughout the week, so expect more updates.  Stay tuned!

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