Well, last nights post about the up and coming winter forecast made me think, "I wonder what the Farmer's Almanac's winter forecast is?" First, let me educate you on the Farmer's Almanac. It is a book that provides information to farmers. One of the things they do is "forecast" the weather. Using Caleb Weatherbee (don't worry, it's just a pseudonym), their weather "expert," and a secret "formula," they forecast the weather and also provide long range forecasts. They forecast the weather by months in advance, and to the general observer, they're incredibly accurate. But, us meteorologists know that you can't accurately predict that far out. Here's how they present their forecast. Using regions, that have an average of about seven states, although one is made of 13 states, they choose a four day period and give their forecast. But here's a secret: Even I can look two years in advance, pick a seven state region, a four day period, give you a very generalized forecast, and have it come true. They also have a formula for long range forecasts, too. The fact that they use some 100 year old formula is more believable here, as they are usually way off, even when everybody else is predicting the forecast correctly. Anyway, cutting the chatter, here's the weather funny from their summer forecast:
Notice how they've forecasted "Very Wet" with "Nice Temps" for a region that has lately been baking, and been under the worst drought in recent memory. I have to think about this one... Stay tuned everybody!
No comments:
Post a Comment